Kai Cenat Is Playing Every GTA Before GTA 6 — Two Down, Three to Go
By Mira Okonkwo··4 min read
Kai Cenat went live on November 5 at 3 PM ET with one promise: play GTA III, Vice City, San Andreas, GTA IV and GTA V in order, on stream, before Grand Theft Auto VI lands on November 19. Two days and 40-plus hours later, two games are done, San Andreas is on screen — and a prediction market is taking bets on the day he finishes.
Where the run stands
| Game | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| GTA III | Done | A little under 10 hours, starting 3 PM ET on November 5. |
| GTA: Vice City | Done | 18+ hours, from the early hours of November 6 (ET). |
| GTA: San Andreas | Playing | Started the evening of November 6 and still running on November 7. |
| GTA IV | Up next | |
| GTA V | Last | Lined up to end the run just before GTA 6. |
The pace has surprised the doubters. When he announced the run on November 2, the replies were full of people predicting he would still be stuck in Vice City when GTA 6 came out. Instead, GTA III took him under ten hours and Vice City a little over eighteen — he is playing the stories, not chasing 100% completion. The harder stretch is ahead: San Andreas, GTA IV and GTA V are the three longest campaigns in the set.
The reason he is doing it is personal. On the announcement stream he told chat that his stepfather handed him a PlayStation with Vice City as a kid in Brooklyn — and that the first thing he heard, riding a motorbike, was "Billie Jean" on the radio. Each game switch has come with its own real-life set and outfit: an 8-Ball's Autos garage for GTA III, a neon hotel front for Vice City, a Grove Street wall and a BMX for San Andreas. Viral posts on X put the build at $450,000; Kai has not confirmed any figure.
The numbers so far
By TwitchTracker's count, quoted by TalkEsport on November 7, the stream was averaging about 31,600 viewers, peaked at 46,812 during San Andreas, and had passed 1.2 million hours watched and 19,000 new followers. That is steady rather than spectacular for the creator who became the first to pass a million active Twitch subs during Mafiathon 3 — but those are Twitch-only numbers, and Kai simulcasts to YouTube, so the combined audience is bigger.
There's a Polymarket market on the finish date
Polymarket opened "Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?" minutes before the stream started, with a separate Yes/No contract for each date from November 7 to November 16. It had traded about $230,000 by November 7, 2026. Here is what traders were paying for Yes:
- Nov 80.9%
- Nov 91.8%
- Nov 1020.5%
- Nov 1169%
- Nov 1283.5%
- Nov 1396.3%
- Nov 1496.2%
- Nov 1695.9%
Read it as a forecast and the crowd's expected finish is November 11, with the odds jumping from 20% to 69% between the 10th and the 11th — a week ahead of GTA 6. The flat ~4% No on the later dates is the bet that he stops or switches content before the end. Two rules matter: Kai himself has to call the marathon complete, and the latest date is November 16, so finishing on the 17th or 18th would resolve every contract No.
See the live odds on PolymarketPrices are a snapshot from November 7, 2026 and move with every session. Prediction markets involve real money and real losses; nothing here is betting advice. New to them? Our guide to betting on livestream events explains how they work.
What happens next
San Andreas, then GTA IV, then GTA V — with GTA VI arriving on November 19 on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S. If you are planning your own launch-day stream, our GTA 6 streaming guide covers settings and the rules. And if you want the earlier chapter of GTA 6 prediction markets, we covered the Trailer 3 odds in October.
Frequently Asked Questions
When did Kai Cenat's GTA marathon start?
November 5, 2026, at 3 PM ET, live on Twitch and YouTube. He announced it on stream on November 2 and on X the next day, promising to play GTA III, Vice City, San Andreas, GTA IV and GTA V in release order before Grand Theft Auto VI launches on November 19.
Which GTA game is Kai Cenat playing right now?
As of November 7, San Andreas. He finished GTA III in a little under ten hours, moved to Vice City early on November 6 and played it for more than 18 hours, then started San Andreas that evening. GTA IV and GTA V are still to come. For the live status, check his Twitch channel.
How many people are watching the GTA marathon?
Per TwitchTracker, as quoted by TalkEsport on November 7: about 31,600 average viewers across the whole broadcast, a peak of 46,812 during San Andreas, more than 1.2 million hours watched and over 19,000 new followers. Those are Twitch-only figures — Kai streams to YouTube at the same time, so the real audience is larger.
Is there a bet on Kai Cenat finishing the GTA marathon?
Yes. Polymarket runs a market called "Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?" with one Yes/No contract per date from November 7 to November 16. On November 7 traders priced a finish by November 10 at about 20%, by November 11 at 69% and by November 13 at 96%. It had traded about $230,000 in its first two days.
What counts as finishing the marathon for the Polymarket market?
Kai Cenat has to finish playing the GTA games live on stream and accept it himself as a successful completion of the marathon, by 11:59 PM ET on the chosen date. Breaks and pauses do not matter, and completing any single game does not count on its own. If he cancels, abandons the run, moves on to other content for good, or finishes after the date, it resolves No. Footage from his Twitch and YouTube broadcasts is the resolution source.
Did Kai Cenat really spend $450,000 on the marathon sets?
Unconfirmed. Each game has its own real-life set — an 8-Ball's Autos garage for GTA III, a neon hotel front for Vice City, a Grove Street wall with a BMX for San Andreas — and viral posts on X put the total at $450,000. Kai has not given a figure and nobody connected to the stream has published one.
This article contains referral links to Polymarket. If you sign up through them we may earn a commission, at no cost to you. Prediction markets carry a real risk of losing money, are not available in every jurisdiction, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.